Second Delta COVID-19 Peak For Melbourne Due Around Christmas October 18, 2021 On the cusp of being 70% fully vaccinated, Victoria will lift its lockdown on Thursday. The state recorded 1,903 cases today. With cases so high as lockdown lifts, the Burnet Institute modelling has shown that a second peak will likely occur around mid-December with cases at around 4,000. It also suggested there could be around 200 people in ICU and 1000 people in hospital with COVID-19 for the remainder of the year. There is a silver lining – the projected deaths before the end of the year have halved. The projected likelihood of the hospital system being overwhelmed has also dropped from 63% to 23%. Just remember, the best way to protect yourself as numbers rise is to get vaccinated.